Playing out the data
Following up on yesterday, I worked out the results of my suggested changes at the bottom of yesterday’s post. In the table below, I show what state by state representation would look like in the House. I averaged the voting turnout across the five congressional elections in the decade. Note that participation dips substantially in non-Presidential elections. The average number of voters is lower because it takes into account years with presidential contests and years without.
Changes in Representative Counts
| State | Avg Votes ’02-’10 | Current Reps | Reps by formula | Pop 2010 | % Participation |
| AL | 1,484,946 | 7 | 7 | 4,779,736 | 31.07% |
| AK | 266,736 | 1 | 1 | 710,231 | 37.56% |
| AZ | 1,682,567 | 8 | 8 | 6,392,017 | 26.32% |
| AR | 760,769 | 4 | 3 | 2,915,918 | 26.09% |
| CA | 9,829,588 | 53 | 45 | 37,253,956 | 26.39% |
| CO | 1,805,477 | 7 | 8 | 5,029,196 | 35.90% |
| CT | 1,231,677 | 5 | 6 | 3,574,097 | 34.46% |
| DE | 305,447 | 1 | 1 | 897,934 | 34.02% |
| FL | 5,156,917 | 25 | 23 | 18,801,310 | 27.43% |
| GA | 2,614,723 | 13 | 12 | 9,687,653 | 26.99% |
| HI | 378,490 | 2 | 2 | 1,360,301 | 27.82% |
| ID | 501,550 | 2 | 2 | 1,567,582 | 32.00% |
| IL | 4,163,173 | 19 | 19 | 12,830,632 | 32.45% |
| IN | 2,042,561 | 9 | 9 | 6,483,802 | 31.50% |
| IA | 1,218,845 | 5 | 6 | 3,046,355 | 40.01% |
| KS | 975,046 | 4 | 4 | 2,853,118 | 34.17% |
| KY | 1,417,430 | 6 | 6 | 4,339,367 | 32.66% |
| LA | 1,233,754 | 7 | 6 | 4,533,372 | 27.21% |
| ME | 603,161 | 2 | 3 | 1,328,361 | 45.41% |
| MD | 1,988,500 | 8 | 9 | 5,773,552 | 34.44% |
| MA | 2,234,970 | 10 | 10 | 6,547,629 | 34.13% |
| MI | 3,868,210 | 15 | 18 | 9,883,640 | 39.14% |
| MN | 2,399,100 | 8 | 11 | 5,303,925 | 45.23% |
| MS | 889,566 | 4 | 4 | 2,967,297 | 29.98% |
| MO | 2,272,013 | 9 | 10 | 5,988,927 | 37.94% |
| MT | 404,585 | 1 | 2 | 989,415 | 40.89% |
| NE | 619,163 | 3 | 3 | 1,826,341 | 33.90% |
| NV | 695,442 | 3 | 3 | 2,700,551 | 25.75% |
| NH | 524,636 | 2 | 2 | 1,316,470 | 39.85% |
| NJ | 2,597,412 | 13 | 12 | 8,791,894 | 29.54% |
| NM | 630,753 | 3 | 3 | 2,059,179 | 30.63% |
| NY | 5,051,135 | 29 | 23 | 19,378,102 | 26.07% |
| NC | 2,895,134 | 13 | 13 | 9,535,483 | 30.36% |
| ND | 262,113 | 1 | 1 | 672,591 | 38.97% |
| OH | 4,300,468 | 18 | 20 | 11,536,504 | 37.28% |
| OK | 1,082,312 | 5 | 5 | 3,751,351 | 28.85% |
| OR | 1,496,384 | 5 | 7 | 3,831,074 | 39.06% |
| PA | 4,444,732 | 19 | 20 | 12,702,379 | 34.99% |
| RI | 375,520 | 2 | 2 | 1,052,567 | 35.68% |
| SC | 1,344,967 | 6 | 6 | 4,625,364 | 29.08% |
| SD | 351,654 | 1 | 2 | 814,180 | 43.19% |
| TN | 1,864,897 | 9 | 8 | 6,346,105 | 29.39% |
| TX | 5,555,644 | 32 | 25 | 25,145,561 | 22.09% |
| UT | 722,607 | 3 | 3 | 2,763,885 | 26.14% |
| VT | 265,976 | 1 | 1 | 625,741 | 42.51% |
| VA | 2,500,584 | 11 | 11 | 8,001,024 | 31.25% |
| WA | 2,383,408 | 9 | 11 | 6,724,540 | 35.44% |
| WV | 547,270 | 3 | 2 | 1,852,994 | 29.53% |
| WI | 2,287,646 | 8 | 10 | 5,686,986 | 40.23% |
| WY | 210,184 | 1 | 1 | 563,626 | 37.29% |
| Total: | 95,761,406 | 435 | 429 | 308,143,815 | 31.08% |